ChatGPT, Bard & Tankathon Predict NBA Draft Lottery 2023 (2024)

As the NBA’s most nail-biting event, the Draft Lottery, looms on the horizon, teams across the league are holding their breath. This Tuesday, May 16, representatives from the franchises with the worst records will gather, each hoping to secure the golden ticket: the first overall pick in the 2023 NBA Draft. Topping the wish list for most is the towering 7-foot-5 center from France, Victor Wembanyama, who has gained quite the reputation in the hoops world and is widely expected to go first overall. So, we decided to have a little fun with it. We put three AI models, ChatGPT, Bard, and Tankathon, to the test, asking them to predict the lottery results.

It should be noted that the AI doesn’t actually know what will happen. It’s not psychic, it’s just a complex algorithm responding to prompts. However, it would be quite something if they could nail the results, so let’s see how they perform.

Before you dive headlong into the results, keep in mind some key dates for the NBA. The NBA Combine kicks off the fun, followed by the Draft Lottery and then the big show, the NBA Draft. So, buckle up, basketball fans. It’s going to be a wild ride. Read on to see what our digital diviners have to say about the fate of your favorite team.

NBA Draft Dates to Remember

  • 🏀 2023 NBA Draft Lottery
  • 📅 Date: Tuesday, May 16
  • 🕣 Time: 8:30 pm
  • 📺 TV: ESPN
  • 🎲 Odds to win NBA Draft Lottery: DET +600 | HOU +600 | SA +600
  • 🏀 NBA Combine
  • 📅 Dates: May 15-May 18
  • 📺 TV: NBA App/ESPN/ESPN2/ESPN+
  • 🏀 NBA Draft
  • 📅 Date: Thursday, June 22
  • 🕗 Time: 8 pm
  • 📺 TV: ABC/ ESPN

ChatGPT’s NBA Draft Lottery 2023 Simulation

ChatGPT, Bard & Tankathon Predict NBA Draft Lottery 2023 (1)

ChatGPT was told that percentages of each team’s picks looked like this:

Team1234567891011121314
DET1413.412.71247.9
HOU1413.412.71227.820
SAS1413.412.71214.8267
CHA12.512.211.911.57.225.716.82.2
POR10.510.510.610.52.219.626.78.70.6
ORL99.29.49.68.629.720.63.70.2
IND6.87.17.57.919.735.613.81.4>0.0
WAS6.777.47.832.931.16.60.4>0.0
UTA4.54.85.25.750.725.930.1>0.0
DAL33.33.6465.9191.2>0.0>0.0
CHI1.822.22.577.613.50.4>0.0
OKC1.71.92.12.485.26.70.1
TOR11.11.21.492.92.3
NOP0.50.60.60.797.6

With the percentages and parameters in place, ChatGPT went about randomizing the 2023 NBA Draft lottery order. Here is what it came up with:

  1. Detroit Pistons
  2. Charlotte Hornets
  3. Houston Rockets
  4. San Antonio Spurs
  5. Portland Trail Blazers
  6. Orlando Magic
  7. Indiana Pacers
  8. Washington Wizards
  9. Utah Jazz
  10. Dallas Mavericks
  11. Chicago Bulls
  12. Oklahoma City Thunder
  13. Toronto Raptors
  14. New Orleans Pelicans

There is not much in the way of surprises happening with the first four picks according to ChatGPT. ChatGPT’s simulation went mostly by the book, with the Detroit Pistons, who had the highest chance of winning, taking the top spot. The big winners here are clearly the Pistons, who get the chance to draft the much-touted Victor Wembanyama.

The Charlotte Hornets also get a mini-win. They climb up from fourth to second in the ChatGPT 2023 NBA Lottery simulation. At that point in the draft, they will likely have their pick of Scoot Henderson or Brandon Miller.

Bard’s 2023 NBA Draft Lottery Predictions

ChatGPT, Bard & Tankathon Predict NBA Draft Lottery 2023 (2)

Below is the result of Bard’s NBA Lottery predictions:

  1. Houston Rockets
  2. Detroit Pistons
  3. San Antonio Spurs
  4. Charlotte Hornets
  5. Portland Trail Blazers
  6. Orlando Magic
  7. Indiana Pacers
  8. Washington Wizards
  9. Utah Jazz
  10. Dallas Mavericks
  11. Chicago Bulls
  12. Oklahoma City Thunder
  13. Toronto Raptors
  14. New Orleans Pelicans

Google’s AI chatbot, Bard, didn’t provide many shocks. The top three in their NBA Draft lottery simulation were the three with best odds of obtaining the first overall pick. However, it was the Houston Rockets who came out on top according to Bard.

Tankathon’s 2023 NBA Draft Lottery Simulation

ChatGPT, Bard & Tankathon Predict NBA Draft Lottery 2023 (3)

Below is the result of Tankathon’s NBA lottery simulation:

  1. Washington Wizards
  2. San Antonio Spurs
  3. Charlotte Hornets
  4. Orlando Magic
  5. Detroit Pistons
  6. Houston Rockets
  7. Portland Trail Blazers
  8. Indiana Pacers
  9. Utah Jazz
  10. Dallas Mavericks
  11. Chicago Bulls
  12. Oklahoma City Thunder
  13. Toronto Raptors
  14. New Orleans Pelicans

Tankathon provided the most shocking results with their NBA Draft lottery predictions. The Washington Wizards leaped from the eighth highest odds to the first pick. Talk about a Cinderella story! With just a 6.7% chance of taking the top pick, this would put the Wizards in prime position to land Wembanyama.

Orlando also defied odds, earning a top-four spot. They overcome a 37.4% chances of to land in the top-four, but will now be in position to land a top prospect. However, this simulation was not so positive for Detroit and Houston, who were notably absent from the top four, a big blow considering they had the worst records in the league.

All in all, these simulations serve up a tantalizing glimpse of what could be. And who knows? Maybe one of these AI models will prove itself the Nostradamus of the NBA. Be sure to tune in on May 16 to see how the real lottery shakes out!

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ChatGPT, Bard & Tankathon Predict NBA Draft Lottery 2023 (2024)

FAQs

Where is Bronny projected to be drafted? ›

After Bronny's performance in the combine, he climbed in multiple mock drafts and rankings and now he is predicted to be selected with the 46th over all pick in the upcoming draft, something that could mean he might be able to stay in Los Angeles, but he would be drafted by the Clippers.

What is the NBA draft order? ›

2024 NBA Draft order: First round
PickTeam
1.Atlanta Hawks
2.Washington Wizards
3.Houston Rockets (via Brooklyn Nets)
4.San Antonio Spurs
26 more rows
May 13, 2024

What picks are considered lottery picks? ›

Picks 1-14 are determined by a lottery process. The teams in the lottery consist of teams who did not make the NBA playoffs. The rest of the draft is done in order of win percentage.

What teams will be in the NBA draft lottery? ›

NBA draft lottery results 2024: Top takeaways and questions
  • No. 1: Atlanta Hawks. ...
  • No. 2: Washington Wizards. ...
  • No. 3: Houston Rockets (via Brooklyn Nets) ...
  • No. 4: San Antonio Spurs. ...
  • No. 5: Detroit Pistons. ...
  • No. 6: Charlotte Hornets. ...
  • No. 8: San Antonio Spurs. ...
  • No. 9: Memphis Grizzlies.
May 12, 2024

What draft class is Bronny James in 2024? ›

Bronny James clears medical, expected to remain in 2024 NBA Draft. Los Angeles is the current favorite to land Bronny. With the latest news, the Lakers' odds to draft James out of USC also shortened slightly to +180 from +190. As a freshman for the Trojans, Bronny averaged 4.8 points and 2.1 assists per game.

Can you be drafted at age 35? ›

Present - The U.S. currently operates under an all-volunteer armed forces policy. All male citizens between the ages of 18 and 26 are required to register for the draft and are liable for training and service until the age of 35.

What is a tankathon? ›

Tankathon.com. @tankathon. Live-updating NBA, NHL, NFL, MLB draft order and mock drafts with lottery simulators.

Who won the NBA lottery? ›

The 2024 NBA Draft Lottery has concluded and the Atlanta Hawks grabbed a franchise-first lottery win. In one of the least-anticipated NBA draft lottery's in recent memory, the ping pong balls bounced in the Atlanta Hawks' favor.

How is the NBA Draft lottery weighted? ›

The odds are weighted based on each team's record (the worse a team is, the higher their odds of landing the number one overall pick). So, the teams with the first through third-worst records (the Detroit Pistons, Houston Rockets, and San Antonio Spurs) have even odds at the first overall pick.

Why is the NBA Draft only two rounds? ›

By agreement with the National Basketball Players Association, the drafts from 1989 onward have been limited to two rounds, which gives undrafted players the chance to try out for any team.

What are the best numbers to pick in the lottery? ›

Using the most commonly drawn winning numbers can increase your chances of winning. The three most common winning numbers overall are 61, 32 and 63. Other top numbers are 21, 36, 69, 39, 23, 59 and 62. Choosing the most commonly drawn Powerball numbers can increase your odds, namely 24, 18, 4, 10 and 21.

How is NBA draft lottery run? ›

In the current lottery setup, 14 ping pong balls are placed in a lottery machine and four are drawn out at a time. There are 1,001 possible combinations of the four balls (regardless of order), and 1,000 of those combinations are assigned to the 14 teams.

Is Bronny James in the NBA Draft? ›

After entering the transfer portal and simultaneously declaring for the draft last month, James elected to go through the NBA Draft Combine earlier this month in Chicago and decided to remain in the draft.

Who gets drafted first? ›

The first to be called, in a sequence determined by the lottery, will be men whose 20th birthday falls during the calendar year the induction takes place, followed, as needed, by those aged 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 19, and 18 (in that order).

What is the order of the 2024 NBA Draft? ›

Complete 2024 NBA draft order: First round
  • Atlanta Hawks.
  • Washington Wizards.
  • Houston Rockets (via BKN)
  • San Antonio Spurs.
  • Detroit Pistons.
  • Charlotte Hornets.
  • Portland Trail Blazers.
  • San Antonio Spurs (via TOR)
May 12, 2024

Who has the #1 pick in the NBA Draft 2024? ›

Watch the official 2024 NBA Draft Lottery drawing, which culminates with the Hawks winning the No. 1 overall pick.

How does the order of the draft work? ›

The order in which the teams pick is the opposite of the order in which they finished the previous season. Simply put, the team with the worst record picks first, while the team with the best record - the Super Bowl champions - pick last, the Chiefs getting that 'honor' twice in succession.

Why are there only 58 picks? ›

There are only 58 picks in this year's draft after the Philadelphia 76ers and Phoenix Suns were required to forfeit second-round selections for free-agent tampering.

References

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